MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 18:05:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2023 at 4.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Wellington
5 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Payne (24'), Zawada (32', 63', 90+2'), Kraev (58')
Kraev (33'), Zawada (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berenguer (1'), Mileusnic (53')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
33.86% (0.332 0.33) 24.48% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 41.66% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.32 -0.32)43.69% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.315 -0.32)66.08% (0.315 0.31)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.058 0.06)59.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.328 -0.33)21.06% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (-0.515 -0.52)53.87% (0.515 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 33.86%
    Brisbane Roar 41.66%
    Draw 24.48%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.66%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 4am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
2-2
Brisbane Roar
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 6am
Gameweek 12
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Wellington
Zawada (65')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 22
Brisbane Roar
0-3
Wellington

Ivanovic (17'), Mlinaric (45+1'), O'Shea (72')
Neville (28' og.), Waine (48'), Old (57')
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Gameweek 18
Brisbane Roar
2-1
Wellington
Lescano (25'), (26'), Daley (57')
Payne (31'), Rufer (36'), Ball (90+4')
Feb 16, 2022 6.25am
Gameweek 8
Wellington
3-0
Brisbane Roar
Wootton (33'), Sandoval (63'), Piscopo (67')
van Hattum (87')

Neville (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!