Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
53.5% ( 0.01) | 21.31% ( -0.08) | 25.19% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 64.67% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.14% ( 0.49) | 33.86% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.29% ( 0.55) | 55.71% ( -0.55) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( 0.16) | 12.88% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% ( 0.34) | 39.27% ( -0.34) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( 0.32) | 25.77% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( 0.43) | 60.71% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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