AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2023 at 11am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
0 - 0
Ventforet Kofu

Ugarkovic (22'), Behich (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Melbourne City and Ventforet Kofu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-6 Central Coast
Saturday, June 3 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Ventforet Kofu

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Adelaide United	0	nan
2	Brisbane Roar	0	nan
3	Central Coast	0	nan
4	Macarthur	0	nan
5	Melbourne City	0	nan
6	Victory	0	nan
7	Newcastle Jets	0	nan
8	Perth Glory	0	nan
9	Sydney FC	0	nan
10	Wellington	0	nan
11	Western Sydney	0	nan
12	Western Utd	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Ventforet Kofu
72.16% ( -0.2)	16.18% ( 0.05)	11.65% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 55.57% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.1% (

0.23)

32.9% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.39% (

0.26)

54.61% (

-0.26)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03% (

0.01)

7.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.88% (

0.03)

28.11% (

-0.03)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.38% (

0.42)

39.62% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.7% (

0.38)

76.3% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 72.16%

Ventforet Kofu 11.65%

Draw 16.18%

Melbourne City	Draw	Ventforet Kofu
2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 72.16%	1-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.18%	1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.65%