Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2024 at 6am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Utd1 - 2Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 8-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, December 28 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Thursday, December 28 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
25.2% ( 0.01) | 21.88% ( 0.23) | 52.92% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( -1.09) | 36.6% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( -1.2) | 58.76% ( 1.2) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.58) | 27.23% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.35% ( -0.75) | 62.65% ( 0.76) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0.45) | 14% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.49% ( -0.89) | 41.51% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
Western United 25.2%
Melbourne City 52.92%
Draw 21.88%
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 25.2% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 52.92% |
How you voted: Western Utd vs Melbourne City
Western United
12.5%Draw
12.5%Melbourne City
75.0%8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
Jan 7, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Western Utd
Oct 7, 2022 9.45am
May 28, 2022 10.45am
Form Guide
