Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
41.18% (![]() | 24.73% (![]() | 34.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% (![]() | 44.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% (![]() | 67.14% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% (![]() | 21.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.06% (![]() | 54.94% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% (![]() | 60.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.9% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |