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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Jan 21, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Western United

Wellington
2 - 1
Western Utd

Sandoval (16'), Hooper (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lustica (90+4')
Lustica (6'), Risdon (57')
Imai (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 53.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
53.4%22.83%23.77%
Both teams to score 57.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.49%42.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08%64.91%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85%45.15%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04%67.96%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 53.4%
    Western United 23.77%
    Draw 22.82%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.48%
3-1 @ 6%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 6.14%
0-1 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.77%

Head to Head
May 22, 2021 5.05am
Gameweek 12
Wellington
3-0
Western Utd
Devlin (31'), Waine (90+2'), Lewis (90+3')
Apr 22, 2021 10.05am
Gameweek 6
Western Utd
1-1
Wellington
Wales (27')
Uskok (10'), Hamill (24'), Durante (40'), Sanchez (53'), Scott (90+4')
Hamill (45+2')
Waine (7')
Taylor (21'), Sotirio (25'), Ball (69')
Apr 11, 2021 10.05am
Gameweek 18
Wellington
3-2
Western Utd
Davila (45+1' pen.), Sotirio (53'), Waine (90')
Berisha (32' pen.), Guarrotxena (56')
Berisha (57'), Duzel (68')
Feb 21, 2020 6.15am
Gameweek 20
Wellington
2-0
Western Utd
Cacace (29'), Ball (90')
Taylor (25'), Piscopo (42')

Lustica (23')
Dec 28, 2019 6am
Gameweek 12
Western Utd
1-3
Wellington
Diamanti (89' pen.)
Calver (10'), Skotadis (34'), Pain (37'), Jertec (68')
Ball (41'), Mccowatt (55'), Davila (80')
Piscopo (44'), Taylor (88')
rhs 2.0
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