Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
56.22% ( 0.33) | 20.51% ( -0.31) | 23.26% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 65.32% ( 1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.96% ( 1.52) | 32.04% ( -1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.39% ( 1.76) | 53.61% ( -1.76) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% ( 0.58) | 11.5% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% ( 1.25) | 36.37% ( -1.25) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% ( 0.84) | 26.19% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% ( 1.11) | 61.28% ( -1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Macarthur | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |