MX23RW : Monday, December 23 23:59:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
8 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Good (10'), MacLaren (14', 34', 58'), Natel (48', 70'), Arslan (76'), Mazzeo (85')
Sakhi (45+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Brownlie (62')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-3 Central Coast
Thursday, December 21 at 9am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
56.22% (0.331 0.33) 20.51% (-0.314 -0.31) 23.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.32% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (1.522 1.52)32.04% (-1.526 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (1.758 1.76)53.61% (-1.763 -1.76)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (0.581 0.58)11.5% (-0.585 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.63% (1.247 1.25)36.37% (-1.253 -1.25)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.83600000000001 0.84)26.19% (-0.84 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (1.109 1.11)61.28% (-1.114 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 56.22%
    Brisbane Roar 23.26%
    Draw 20.51%
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.084 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.142 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.041 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.1% (0.088 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 23.26%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Brisbane Roar
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
2-1
Brisbane Roar
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Melbourne City
> Preview
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 2
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Melbourne City
MacLaren (22', 38')
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Melbourne City
Hore (9')
Aldred (90+1')
Trewin (14' og.), Borges Rodrigues (49')
Berenguer (67'), Hall (90+4')
Nov 19, 2021 8.45am
Gameweek 1
Melbourne City
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Good (40'), Metcalfe (43')
Metcalfe (89')
Ivanovic (71')
rhs 2.0
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