Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 25, 2024 at 6am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
0 - 1
Central Coast

Geria (21'), Arzani (47'), Miranda (59')
Miranda (80'), Valadon (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Teague (48' og.)
Kuol (56'), Torres (65'), Roux (90+10')
Barcellos (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Western Utd
Tuesday, February 20 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
42.04% ( -0.57)	23.69% ( 0.06)	34.27% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 62.12% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.19% (

-0.15)

39.8% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.84% (

-0.15)

62.16% (

0.16)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.31)

19.26% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

-0.51)

50.98% (

0.51)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

0.21)

23.05% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.12% (

0.31)

56.88% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 42.04%

Central Coast Mariners 34.27%

Draw 23.69%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.04%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.27%