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Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 6.15am UK
Allianz Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Central Coast
1 - 1
Victory

Reec (89')
Kuol (29'), Farrell (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arzani (33' pen.)
Monge (7'), Da Silva (25'), Miranda (84'), Velupillay (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, January 6 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-3 Victory
Saturday, January 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
51.14% (0.168 0.17) 21.26% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 27.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 67.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.62% (0.133 0.13)31.37% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.17% (0.157 0.16)52.82% (-0.156 -0.16)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)12.73% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.03% (0.202 0.2)38.96% (-0.199 -0.2)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.54% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 51.14%
    Melbourne Victory 27.59%
    Draw 21.26%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.015999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Victory

Central Coast Mariners
20.0%
Draw
80.0%
Melbourne Victory
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 4am
Gameweek 6
Central Coast
2-2
Victory
Kuol (16'), Torres (73' pen.)
Balard (49'), Kaltack (56')
Fornaroli (45+1'), Velupillay (52')
Miranda (68')
Mar 19, 2023 6am
Dec 31, 2022 8am
Gameweek 10
Central Coast
2-1
Victory
Cummings (11', 53')
Cadete (39')
Mar 9, 2022 6.05am
Gameweek 11
Central Coast
1-1
Victory
Muller (84')
Miller (28')
D'Agostino (38')
Kelava (45+1')
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
1-0
Central Coast
Velupillay (90+4')
Broxham (73'), Davidson (89')

Farrell (52')
rhs 2.0
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