Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2024 at 10.45am UK
nib Stadium
Perth Glory2 - 3Victory
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Sunday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
26.98% ( 0.38) | 22.73% ( 0.2) | 50.29% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.62) | 39.08% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( -0.66) | 61.41% ( 0.66) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.06) | 27.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.08) | 62.68% ( 0.07) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( -0.43) | 15.76% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.79) | 44.87% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
Perth Glory 26.98%
Melbourne Victory 50.29%
Draw 22.73%
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.29% |
How you voted: Perth Glory vs Victory
Perth Glory
50.0%Draw
0.0%Melbourne Victory
50.0%6
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 23
Victory
0-0
Perth Glory
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Apr 6, 2022 12.05pm
Gameweek 22
Perth Glory
0-1
Victory
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Gameweek 5
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Form Guide
