Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
56.34% ( -5.25) | 20.05% ( 1.41) | 23.6% ( 3.84) |
Both teams to score 67.57% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.66% ( -1.74) | 29.33% ( 1.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.61% ( -2.15) | 50.38% ( 2.15) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.39% ( -1.78) | 10.61% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.59% ( -4.14) | 34.4% ( 4.13) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( 2.03) | 24.41% ( -2.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( 2.78) | 58.83% ( -2.78) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.64) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.45) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.41) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.47% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.76) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.29) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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