MX23RW : Monday, December 23 18:33:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 3, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Victory

FT(HT: 0-1)
Miranda (20')
Da Silva (31'), Teague (87'), Chapman (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
34.42% (0.692 0.69) 22.91% (0.216 0.22) 42.68% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Both teams to score 65.12% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-0.86699999999999 -0.87)35.9% (0.87200000000001 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-0.96 -0.96)57.99% (0.966 0.97)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)54.03% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.706 -0.71)17.39% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-1.25 -1.25)47.81% (1.256 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 34.42%
    Melbourne Victory 42.68%
    Draw 22.91%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.237 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 10% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 42.68%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 6am
Gameweek 2
Victory
5-3
Newcastle Jets
Fornaroli (8', 31', 40' pen., 45+3'), Velupillay (55')
Natta (6'), Taylor (49', 74')
Jenkinson (27'), Buhagiar (58')
Feb 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Victory
Mikeltadze (37' pen.), Grozos (58')
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (16' pen.), Ikonomidis (50'), D'Agostino (54'), Fornaroli (89' pen.)
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
D'Agostino (6'), Margiotta (90+3')
Folami (58')
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!