Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
34.42% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() | 42.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.1% (![]() | 35.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.01% (![]() | 57.99% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% (![]() | 21.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.97% (![]() | 54.03% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% (![]() | 17.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% (![]() | 47.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 3.75% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 10% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 8.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 4.13% Total : 42.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |