Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 3, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets1 - 1Victory
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
34.42% ( 0.69) | 22.91% ( 0.22) | 42.68% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 65.12% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.87) | 35.9% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.96) | 57.99% ( 0.97) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( -0.04) | 21.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.97% ( -0.07) | 54.03% ( 0.07) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.71) | 17.39% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.19% ( -1.25) | 47.81% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets 34.42%
Melbourne Victory 42.68%
Draw 22.91%
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.13% Total : 42.68% |
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 6am
Feb 12, 2023 4am
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Form Guide
