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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2024 at 6.30am UK
Spotless Stadium
Melbourne City

Western Sydney
1 - 2
Melbourne City

Younis (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Natel (28'), Jakolis (39')
Fernandez (8'), Reis (75'), Souprayen (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 8-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 14 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.06%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne City
37.71% (-0.433 -0.43) 21.97% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 40.31% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 69.45% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.46% (0.285 0.28)30.53% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.17% (0.34 0.34)51.83% (-0.339 -0.34)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)17.19% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.103 -0.1)47.46% (0.103 0.1)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (0.31699999999999 0.32)16.12% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (0.573 0.57)45.55% (-0.572 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 37.71%
    Melbourne City 40.31%
    Draw 21.97%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 37.71%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.35% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.034 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 40.31%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 8am
Gameweek 12
Melbourne City
7-0
Western Sydney
Arslan (30', 32'), Natel (39'), Caputo (42'), Reis (72'), MacLaren (77'), Antonis (82')

Ninkovic (52'), Barrie (85'), Pierias (86')
Jan 12, 2024 9.15am
Gameweek 27
Melbourne City
0-1
Western Sydney

Ugarkovic (58'), Sakhi (80'), Arslan (90+6'), Young (90+6')
Pierias (27')
Rudan (38'), Younis (90+1')
Apr 28, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
3-2
Western Sydney
Tilio (49', 90+3'), MacLaren (75')
Borrello (41'), Milanovic (74')
Jan 15, 2023 4am
Feb 11, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Western Sydney
1-3
Melbourne City
Petratos (80' pen.)
Leckie (36', 43'), Berenguer (64')
rhs 2.0
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Steelers
19-24
Browns
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