Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.06%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.