Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 14, 2024 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
8 - 0
Perth Glory

Natel (14', 29'), Arslan (16', 26', 73'), Majekodunmi (19' og.), MacLaren (60'), Ugarkovic (86')
Jeggo (43'), Natel (89'), Ugarkovic (90+3')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Carluccio (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-4 Adelaide United
Sunday, April 7 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
71.44% ( -0.28)	15.74% ( 0.13)	12.82% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.75% (

-0.24)

27.24% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.2% (

-0.3)

47.79% (

0.3)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.24% (

-0.1)

6.75% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.04% (

-0.29)

24.96% (

0.29)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

0.05)

33.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

0.06)

70.51% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 71.44%

Perth Glory 12.82%

Draw 15.74%

Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.44%	1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.74%	1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 12.82%