Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.