Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.