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Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 15, 2024 at 8.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Adelaide United

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Adelaide United


Aquilina (5'), Ingham (33'), Mauragis (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jovanovic (80')
Warland (12'), Clough (25'), Mauk (27'), Sanchez (60'), Alagich (67')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 9 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
41.82% (-0.312 -0.31) 22.4% (-0.203 -0.2) 35.79% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.01% (1.143 1.14)32.99% (-1.143 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.29% (1.301 1.3)54.71% (-1.303 -1.3)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (0.342 0.34)16.55% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (0.612 0.61)46.32% (-0.613 -0.61)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (0.767 0.77)19.15% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (1.253 1.25)50.81% (-1.255 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 41.82%
    Adelaide United 35.79%
    Draw 22.4%
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 5.7% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 41.82%
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 7% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.17% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 2.31% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.092 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.035 0.04)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United

Newcastle Jets
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
Adelaide United
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Adelaide United
3-1
Newcastle Jets
Ibusuki (14'), Clough (68' pen.), Halloran (70')
Irankunda (76')
Vidic (89')
Ingham (9'), Stamatelopoulos (14')
Mar 11, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Adelaide United
Hoffman (16'), Thurgate (45+3')
Goodwin (12'), Clough (14'), Jovanovic (44'), Irankunda (65')
Dec 27, 2022 9.15am
Mar 13, 2022 8.15am
Gameweek 18
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')
Thurgate (65')
Jan 30, 2022 7.45am
Gameweek 12
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
Mikeltadze (59')
Thurgate (87')
Irankunda (88'), Ibusuki (90+1')
Juande (15'), Lopez (22'), Tratt (28'), Toure (29'), Ibusuki (80'), D'Arrigo (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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