Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.