MX23RW : Monday, December 23 17:10:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Dec 1, 2024 at 5am UK
Whitten Oval
Melbourne Victory

Western Utd
1 - 3
Victory

Botic (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machach (8'), Vergos (48'), Fornaroli (69')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, November 22 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
24.11% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 22.08% (0.105 0.1) 53.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 60.57% (-0.404 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.3% (-0.524 -0.52)38.69% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (-0.554 -0.55)61% (0.547 0.55)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.3 -0.3)29.2% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (-0.37 -0.37)65.15% (0.363 0.36)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)14.43% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (-0.407 -0.41)42.37% (0.4 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Western United 24.11%
    Melbourne Victory 53.8%
    Draw 22.08%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.8%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2024 8am
Gameweek 21
Western Utd
2-2
Victory
Penha (43'), Garuccio (90')
Imai (27'), Risdon (72')
Folami (70'), Ikonomidis (79')
Khelifi (53'), Miranda (72')
Feb 20, 2024 8am
Gameweek 12
Victory
2-1
Western Utd
Da Silva (90+5', 90+8')
Velupillay (13'), Fornaroli (90+8')
Penha (60')
Ruhs (17'), Imai (21')
Mar 13, 2023 7am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-2
Western Utd
Fornaroli (50')
Botic (38'), Prijovic (69')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 7am
Gameweek 9
Western Utd
1-0
Victory
Risdon (45+1')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
rhs 2.0
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