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Adelaide United
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Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
May 25, 2024 at 10.55am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Central Coast
3 - 1
Victory

Edmondson (90+1', 120+1'), Di Pizio (97')
Farrell (83')
FT
(aet)
Geria (50')
Traore (21'), Arzani (70'), Da Silva (107')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 0-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, May 18 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Victory
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30am in Australian A-League

We say: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Melbourne Victory

 Central Coast Mariners have been in formidable form in recent months to reach this stage, and in a bid to retain the A-League title on home turf, we back them to come out on top in what promises to be a tight final in New South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%).

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
48.44%23.32%28.24%
Both teams to score 60.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72%63.27%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9%17.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7%47.3%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 48.44%
    Melbourne Victory 28.24%
    Draw 23.31%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.24%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Victory

Central Coast Mariners
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
Melbourne Victory
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 6am
Gameweek 18
Victory
0-1
Central Coast

Geria (21'), Arzani (47'), Miranda (59')
Miranda (80'), Valadon (90')
Teague (48' og.)
Kuol (56'), Torres (65'), Roux (90+10')
Barcellos (90+7')
Jan 13, 2024 6.15am
Gameweek 27
Central Coast
1-1
Victory
Reec (89')
Kuol (29'), Farrell (75')
Arzani (33' pen.)
Monge (7'), Da Silva (25'), Miranda (84'), Velupillay (90+4')
Dec 3, 2023 4am
Gameweek 6
Central Coast
2-2
Victory
Kuol (16'), Torres (73' pen.)
Balard (49'), Kaltack (56')
Fornaroli (45+1'), Velupillay (52')
Miranda (68')
Mar 19, 2023 6am
Gameweek 21
Victory
2-0
Central Coast
Fornaroli (16'), Romero (56')
> Preview
Dec 31, 2022 8am
Gameweek 10
Central Coast
2-1
Victory
Cummings (11', 53')
Cadete (39')
> Preview
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