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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
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Western United
Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2024 at 10.45am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Sydney FC

Central Coast
0 - 0
Sydney FC


Theoharous (25'), Jackson (26'), Roux (41'), Doka (90+6'), Farrell (90+7')
FT

Caceres (45+3')
Caceres (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, May 10 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, May 10 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Sydney FC (Central Coast Mariners to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Having shown their superior quality in the first leg, the Mariners will expect to get the job done on Saturday. While we feel that Sydney will give another good account of themselves, potentially with a share of the spoils, we are backing the home side to do what they need to do. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
52.47% (-1.536 -1.54) 21.99% (0.622 0.62) 25.55% (0.918 0.92)
Both teams to score 62.55% (-1.256 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (-2.088 -2.09)36.81% (2.09 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (-2.302 -2.3)58.99% (2.304 2.3)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (-1.193 -1.19)14.22% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.06% (-2.383 -2.38)41.95% (2.384 2.38)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.443 -0.44)27.09% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.581 -0.58)62.47% (0.584 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 52.47%
    Sydney FC 25.55%
    Draw 21.99%
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.162 -0.16)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 52.47%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.458 0.46)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.221 0.22)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.441 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.25 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Sydney FC

Central Coast Mariners
66.7%
Draw
5.6%
Sydney FC
27.8%
18
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 10.45am
Sydney FC
1-2
Central Coast
King (25')
Hollman (40')
Rodwell (63'), Hollman (82')
Nisbet (45+3'), Doka (56' pen.)
Kuol (20')
Mar 30, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 22
Sydney FC
2-0
Central Coast
Caceres (74'), King (77')
Kucharski (33'), Lolley (37'), Brattan (43')

Theoharous (32'), Vukovic (78')
Feb 10, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 16
Central Coast
1-3
Sydney FC
Torres (56')
Hall (41'), Kaltack (66'), Torres (89')
Grant (4'), Caceres (8'), Hall (20' og.)
Matthews (75')
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Dec 17, 2022 6am
Gameweek 8
Central Coast
2-1
Sydney FC
Tulio (36'), Hall (39')
Retre (11')
rhs 2.0
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