Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
52.47% ( -1.54) | 21.99% ( 0.62) | 25.55% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 62.55% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.19% ( -2.09) | 36.81% ( 2.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.02% ( -2.3) | 58.99% ( 2.3) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% ( -1.19) | 14.22% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.06% ( -2.38) | 41.95% ( 2.38) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0.44) | 27.09% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0.58) | 62.47% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.47% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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