Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.