MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:53:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | 1st Leg
May 12, 2024 at 7am UK
Marvel Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
0 - 0
Wellington

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 3-0 Macarthur
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
50.19% (0.11 0.11) 22.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.59% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 63.71% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)58.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (0.031000000000006 0.03)14.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.08% (0.058999999999997 0.06)42.92% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)25.3% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.101 -0.1)60.06% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 50.19%
    Wellington Phoenix 27.59%
    Draw 22.22%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.12%
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.19%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.59%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
rhs 2.0
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