Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.19% ( 0.11) | 22.22% ( -0.02) | 27.59% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 63.71% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.87% ( -0.02) | 36.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.76% ( -0.02) | 58.24% ( 0.01) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( 0.03) | 14.72% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.08% ( 0.06) | 42.92% ( -0.06) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( -0.08) | 25.3% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( -0.1) | 60.06% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
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