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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 20, 2024 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
Western United

Wellington
1 - 1
Western Utd

Barbarouses (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thurgate (76')
Pasquali (45+1'), Thurgate (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Victory
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, April 28 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
41.17% (1.983 1.98) 23.81% (0.23 0.23) 35.02% (-2.215 -2.22)
Both teams to score 61.85% (-1.208 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-1.439 -1.44)40.24% (1.436 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-1.5 -1.5)62.61% (1.497 1.5)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (0.29300000000001 0.29)19.83% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (0.473 0.47)51.91% (-0.476 -0.48)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-1.795 -1.8)22.85% (1.791 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-2.722 -2.72)56.58% (2.719 2.72)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 41.17%
    Western United 35.02%
    Draw 23.81%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.271 0.27)
1-0 @ 7.33% (0.537 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.485 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.289 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.293 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.02%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 4.45am
Gameweek 16
Wellington
2-0
Western Utd
Pennington (3'), Donachie (47' og.)
Paulsen (90+3')

Pasquali (26'), Donachie (70')
Dec 2, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 6
Western Utd
0-1
Wellington

Tratt (3'), Lustica (33')
Old (79')
Pennington (33'), Rufer (59'), Sutton (90+3')
Feb 17, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Western Utd
0-3
Wellington
Sasse (19'), Kraev (58'), Zawada (64' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 2am
Gameweek 6
Wellington
2-3
Western Utd
May 14, 2022 10.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Wellington
Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')

Lewis (51')
rhs 2.0
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