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Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
1 - 0
Carlisle

Norman (23')
Patrick (38'), Davies (58'), Jennings (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Carlisle
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

This weekend's match between Tranmere and Carlisle features two teams who have both struggled with consistency this season. While the home side might expect a comfortable encounter against the team currently bottom of the table, the visitors are unbeaten in their last two matches against Tranmere, suggesting that Saturday's fixture could end in a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.68% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 26.5% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (0.028999999999996 0.03)52.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.020999999999987 0.02)22.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)71.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.5%
    Draw 25.81%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
Draw
Carlisle United
Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-2
Tranmere
Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bradford CityBradford4121101054342073
2Port Vale412013854401473
3Walsall412012972492372
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4020101061461570
5AFC Wimbledon4119111154312368
6Notts County4119111161402168
7Grimsby Town41205165758-165
8Colchester UnitedColchester41151794940962
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
10Chesterfield4116111462501259
11Salford City401513125046458
12Bromley411414135651556
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood411414135753456
14Swindon TownSwindon411315136157454
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
16BarrowBarrow411410174747052
17Gillingham411114163644-847
18Newport CountyNewport41138205168-1747
19MK Dons41137215165-1446
20Harrogate TownHarrogate41129203352-1945
21Tranmere RoversTranmere411013183658-2243
22Accrington StanleyAccrington411012194663-1742
23Morecambe41106253760-2336
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle41810233463-2934


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