League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Chesterfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Chesterfield |
28.85% ( -0.01) | 24.46% | 46.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.01) | 45.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.01) | 68% ( -0.01) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0) | 29.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.71% ( 0) | 65.28% ( 0) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.01) | 19.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.35% ( 0.01) | 51.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 28.85%
Chesterfield 46.69%
Draw 24.45%
| Carlisle United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.69% |
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Carlisle
3-1
Chesterfield
Feb 4, 2012 3pm
Sep 17, 2011 3pm
Form Guide
