League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Crewe
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Crewe Alexandra
Carlisle may find their match with Crewe to be a frustrating affair due to their opponents' defensive strength, and this resilience may be too much for the bottom-placed side to overcome. To add to this, Carlisle have been contrastingly poor defensively, and may struggle to keep Crewe at bay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
33.69% ( -1.61) | 25.67% ( 0.51) | 40.64% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -2.54) | 49.09% ( 2.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( -2.34) | 71.16% ( 2.34) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -2.18) | 27.8% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% ( -2.87) | 63.39% ( 2.87) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.57) | 23.9% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.89% ( -0.83) | 58.11% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 33.69%
Crewe Alexandra 40.64%
Draw 25.67%
| Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.81) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.64% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Crewe
Carlisle United
27.3%Draw
27.3%Crewe Alexandra
45.5%11
