MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:36:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Carlisle
vs.
Crewe

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Carlisle vs. Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Notts County
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Port Vale vs. Crewe
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 34.29% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
34.29% (0.782 0.78) 24.7% (-0.544 -0.54) 41.01% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 58.44% (2.102 2.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (2.641 2.64)44.61% (-2.643 -2.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (2.503 2.5)66.98% (-2.504 -2.5)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (1.726 1.73)25.3% (-1.728 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (2.318 2.32)60.07% (-2.318 -2.32)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (1.027 1.03)21.76% (-1.029 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (1.544 1.54)54.95% (-1.545 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 34.29%
    Crewe Alexandra 41.01%
    Draw 24.7%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.492 -0.49)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.256 0.26)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.136 0.14)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.29%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.282 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.654 -0.65)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.713 -0.71)
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.232 0.23)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 24
Crewe
0-3
Carlisle
Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Crewe
2-1
Carlisle
Porter (3'), Miller (73')
Ng (31'), Ray (44')
Miller (29')
O'Hare (34'), Hope (65'), Grainger (72'), Cullen (92')
Devitt (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!