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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 34.29% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
34.29% ( 0.78) | 24.7% ( -0.54) | 41.01% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( 2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.39% ( 2.64) | 44.61% ( -2.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.02% ( 2.5) | 66.98% ( -2.5) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( 1.73) | 25.3% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( 2.32) | 60.07% ( -2.32) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% ( 1.03) | 21.76% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.05% ( 1.54) | 54.95% ( -1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.65) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.71) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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