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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.96% ( 0.03) | 25.86% ( -0.03) | 32.18% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% ( 0.12) | 50.28% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% ( 0.11) | 72.23% ( -0.1) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( 0.07) | 23.76% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% ( 0.1) | 57.91% ( -0.1) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.64% ( 0.06) | 29.36% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.66% ( 0.07) | 65.34% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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