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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Carlisle United

Crewe
0 - 3
Carlisle


Mellor (49')
Offord (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')
Feeney (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bradford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Carlisle United

 Carlisle will be bidding to make it back-to-back victories on Thursday, and we are backing the visitors to triumph here. Crewe have lost their last three during a disappointing run, and we are predicting a narrow defeat for the home side in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
31.38% (0.029 0.03) 26.05% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 42.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.91% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.246 0.25)51.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.213 0.21)73.18% (-0.217 -0.22)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.142 0.14)30.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.17 0.17)66.64% (-0.173 -0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.11800000000001 0.12)23.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.172 0.17)58.17% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 31.38%
    Carlisle United 42.55%
    Draw 26.05%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.55%

How you voted: Crewe vs Carlisle

Crewe Alexandra
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-0
Crewe

Agyei (30')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Crewe
2-1
Carlisle
Porter (3'), Miller (73')
Ng (31'), Ray (44')
Miller (29')
O'Hare (34'), Hope (65'), Grainger (72'), Cullen (92')
Devitt (18')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-1
Carlisle

Nolan (29'), Hunt (61')
Devitt (90')
Bennett (18'), Devitt (83'), Yates (84'), Gerrard (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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