League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
3 - 3
Carlisle

Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
Edmondson (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Carlisle United

It should be a tight game at the EnviroVent Stadium, and the hosts should be up for it given their predicament. We expect Carlisle to be too strong for them, though, and they should pick up the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Carlisle United
36.63% ( -1.32)	26.69% ( -0.05)	36.68% ( 1.36)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.92% (

0.24)

53.08% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

0.2)

74.66% (

-0.2)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

-0.65)

27.94% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

-0.84)

63.57% (

0.84)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

0.93)

27.91% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

1.18)

63.53% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 36.63%

Carlisle United 36.68%

Draw 26.69%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.68%