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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 47.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
26.19% ( -0.05) | 26.75% ( 0.03) | 47.06% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.75% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.44% ( -0.15) | 56.56% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% ( -0.12) | 77.54% ( 0.12) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( -0.13) | 37.14% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% ( -0.13) | 73.93% ( 0.13) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.05) | 24.04% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.08) | 58.31% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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