FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Sambou (90+2')
Thomas (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ogie (60')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crewe Alexandra and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Leeds U21s (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Leyton Orient

It is hard to imagine a side who struggle so much in the final third, like Crewe, find a way past a defensive unit as well-organised and compact as Leyton have been in 2022-23. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Leyton Orient
23.27% ( 0.03)	23.53% ( 0.01)	53.2% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.59% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.85% (

0.01)

46.14% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

0.01)

68.44% (

-0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.03)

34% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

0.03)

70.67% (

-0.03)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7% (

-0.01)

17.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.36% (

-0.02)

47.64% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 23.27%

Leyton Orient 53.2%

Draw 23.53%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 23.27%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.2%