Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.