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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Prenton Park
Northampton Town

Tranmere
0 - 1
Northampton


Davies (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (5')
Hylton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 0-2 Northampton Town

Tranmere have been very disappointing all season, most recently drawing 1-1 away at 21st-placed AFC Wimbledon, and Dawes has not performed well in the role of interim manager. As such, we expect the visitors to get over the line and secure promotion back to the third tier with a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
34.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 37.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.141 0.14)59.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.85% (0.107 0.11)80.15% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)32.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.052 0.05)69.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.119 0.12)30.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.14100000000001 0.14)67.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 34.32%
    Northampton Town 37.24%
    Draw 28.42%
Tranmere RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.32%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.24%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Northampton

Tranmere Rovers
Draw
Northampton Town
Tranmere Rovers
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Northampton Town
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Northampton
0-0
Tranmere

Briston (25')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 35
Northampton
3-2
Tranmere
Horsfall (29', 37'), Pinnock (66')
Horsfall (72'), Lubala (90+3')
McPake (75'), Hemmings (88' pen.)
McManaman (12'), McPake (68'), O'Connor (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Tranmere
0-2
Northampton

Spearing (72')
Etete (52'), Hoskins (68' pen.)
Lewis (43'), Koiki (58'), Hoskins (86')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Tranmere
1-2
Northampton
Norwood (25')
Hoskins (2', 45')
O'Toole (67'), Pierre (83'), Facey (87')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
gameweek 6
Northampton
1-1
Tranmere
Morias (61')
Norwood (51')
Banks (86'), Jennings (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall382010867432470
2Bradford CityBradford38209952322069
3AFC Wimbledon3818101051282364
4Port Vale381713848381064
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
6Notts County3817111056391762
7Grimsby Town38185155254-259
8Colchester UnitedColchester38141684637958
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe38141684538758
10Salford City371411124441353
11Chesterfield3714101358441452
12Bromley381313124947252
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381214124946350
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham381311145155-450
15Swindon TownSwindon381115125555048
16BarrowBarrow38139164345-248
17MK Dons38137184955-646
18Newport CountyNewport38137184862-1446
19Gillingham371110163139-843
20Accrington StanleyAccrington381011174555-1041
21Harrogate TownHarrogate38118192948-1941
22Tranmere RoversTranmere38813172855-2737
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle38710213056-2631
24Morecambe3886243357-2430


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