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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Stevenage

Northampton
0 - 1
Stevenage


Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Stevenage

The opening day is always a nervy fixture for teams because while they want to set the tone for the season, it is also important to try and avoid a heavy defeat. This can often lead to a cautious performance and considering both teams know each other well from League Two, a draw would not be a surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawStevenage
27.87% (-1.846 -1.85) 28.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 43.63% (1.895 1.9)
Both teams to score 44.13% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.27% (-0.521 -0.52)61.73% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46% (-0.385 -0.39)81.54% (0.384 0.38)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-1.772 -1.77)38.59% (1.77 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-1.728 -1.73)75.34% (1.726 1.73)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.785 0.78)28.14% (-0.788 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.985 0.98)63.82% (-0.986 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 27.87%
    Stevenage 43.62%
    Draw 28.49%
Northampton TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.352 -0.35)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.393 -0.39)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.87%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 13.76% (0.55 0.55)
0-2 @ 8.73% (0.536 0.54)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.302 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.119 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 43.62%

How you voted: Northampton vs Stevenage

Northampton Town
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Stevenage
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Lines (82')
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Northampton
3-0
Stevenage
Etete (34'), Hoskins (43'), Horsfall (63')
Lewis (88')

Reeves (12'), Vancooten (54'), Reid (56'), Coker (73')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-0
Stevenage
Northampton win 4-2 on penalties
Iontton (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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