League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
0 - 1
Stevenage

Farman (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reeves (25')
Forster-Caskey (45+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Barrow and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage will be looking to finish their promotion-winning campaign with a win, and after thrashing Barrow 5-0 in the reverse fixture, we think that they will have the belief to claim all three points on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Stevenage
33.34% ( -0.59)	28.73% ( 0.1)	37.93% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 45.47% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.98% (

-0.42)

61.02% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.99% (

-0.31)

81.01% (

0.32)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-0.62)

34.05% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.68)

70.73% (

0.68)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

0.09)

31.06% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.62% (

0.1)

67.38% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Barrow 33.34%

Stevenage 37.92%

Draw 28.72%

Barrow	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.34%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.92%