League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage3 - 0Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
We said: Stevenage 2-1 Northampton Town
While Northampton have enjoyed the better of this fixture, their current struggles on the road form give Stevenage a slight edge in this one and we predict that Evans's men will come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town |
56.13% ( -0.04) | 23.55% ( 0.01) | 20.33% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
