League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Reading

Sercombe (29'), Button (37' og.)
Pett (68'), Smith (79')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Dorsett (45'), Mukairu (45+2')
Mbengue (27'), Smith (32'), Dorsett (36'), Knibbs (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Reading

Reading have the worst away record in League One this season, collecting just five points from 11 matches, but we are expecting them to pick up all three points here despite Cheltenham's recent improvement. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Reading
33.94% ( 0.19)	25.72% ( 0)	40.34% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

0.04)

49.23% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

0.04)

71.29% (

-0.04)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.14)

27.72% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

0.17)

63.28% (

-0.17)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89% (

-0.07)

24.12% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-0.11)

58.42% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 33.95%

Reading 40.34%

Draw 25.71%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.95%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.34%