EFL Trophy | Second Round

Dec 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

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Reading
1 - 1
Charlton

Savage (81')
Carson (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

May (42')

Reading win 4-2 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Reading and Charlton Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Reading
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Reading had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.46%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Charlton Athletic
36.07% ( 0.45)	23.13% ( 0.15)	40.8% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 64.64% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.31% (

-0.67)

36.69% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.15% (

-0.73)

58.85% (

0.73)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.07)

20.69% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-0.12)

53.28% (

0.12)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

-0.53)

18.5% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.28% (

-0.91)

49.72% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Reading 36.07%

Charlton Athletic 40.8%

Draw 23.13%

Reading	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.07%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.68% Total : 40.8%