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FA Cup
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Cambridge United

Blackburn
5 - 2
Cambridge

Szmodics (23', 37', 45+3'), Sigurdsson (66'), Leonard (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Lankester (6'), Kaikai (26')
Bennett (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Cambridge United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Cambridge United

 Given Blackburn's most recent form, Cambridge will fancy their chances of causing an upset at Ewood Park. However, despite their frailties, Blackburn have plenty of quality in attack, leading us to predict a home victory with something to spare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCambridge United
52.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)64.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)16.03% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.36% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 52.19%
    Cambridge United 24.92%
    Draw 22.89%
Blackburn RoversDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.19%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cambridge

Blackburn Rovers
81.1%
Draw
8.1%
Cambridge United
10.8%
37
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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