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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
66.3% ( 0.05) | 20.28% ( 0.02) | 13.42% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 46.46% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.24) | 47.54% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.22) | 69.75% ( 0.21) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( -0.06) | 13.46% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.54% ( -0.12) | 40.46% ( 0.11) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.68% ( -0.26) | 46.31% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.04% ( -0.2) | 81.96% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 66.29% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.28% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |