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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cambridge United

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cambridge

Goodrham (54'), Brown (90+5')
Brown (44'), Brannagan (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cousins (30')
Thomas (53'), May (74'), Stevens (90+2'), Brophy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cambridge United

Cambridge are in a good moment but their away form is a major source of concern coming into this match. Oxford, on the other hand, have been solid at home, and should come out on top in the battle of the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
66.3% (0.047000000000011 0.05) 20.28% (0.02 0.02) 13.42% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.239 -0.24)47.54% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.22 -0.22)69.75% (0.212 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)13.46% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)40.46% (0.111 0.11)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.68% (-0.257 -0.26)46.31% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (-0.199 -0.2)81.96% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 66.29%
    Cambridge United 13.42%
    Draw 20.28%
Oxford UnitedDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.29%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.28%
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cambridge

Oxford United
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Cambridge United
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
2-0
Oxford Utd
Lankester (15'), Ahadme (28')
Brophy (10'), Lankester (43'), Janneh (44'), Kachunga (90+5')

Rodrigues (12')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Goodrham (90+3')
Findlay (18'), Browne (47')

Dunk (36')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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