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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Exeter City

Cambridge
2 - 0
Exeter

Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Exeter City

 Both teams will view Friday's fixture as a winnable game in their quest to climb further adrift of the bottom four, but the momentum is with a rejuvenated Cambridge outfit and they should have enough firepower at their disposal to outscore Exeter on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
44.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.42% (0.052 0.05) 29.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.228 -0.23)49.44% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.205 -0.21)71.48% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.11 -0.11)21.96% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.166 -0.17)55.25% (0.163 0.16)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.134 -0.13)30.7% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.156 -0.16)66.96% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 44.98%
    Exeter City 29.6%
    Draw 25.41%
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.6%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Exeter

Cambridge United
70.6%
Draw
5.9%
Exeter City
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Jay (16' pen.), Randall (34')
Parkes (58'), Taylor (77'), McArdle (90+2')

Digby (41'), Dunk (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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