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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
44.98% ( -0.03) | 25.42% ( 0.05) | 29.6% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( -0.23) | 49.44% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( -0.21) | 71.48% ( 0.2) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.11) | 21.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( -0.17) | 55.25% ( 0.16) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -0.13) | 30.7% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% ( -0.16) | 66.96% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |