League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter0 - 1Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Port Vale
Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points following a poor run of results, but we think that a lack of confidence in the two squads could result in a cagey affair finishing honours even. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Port Vale |
36.96% ( -0.05) | 25.72% ( 0.01) | 37.31% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.07% ( -0.07) | 48.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.98% ( -0.06) | 71.02% ( 0.06) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.06) | 25.79% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.25% ( -0.08) | 60.74% ( 0.08) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.01) | 25.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.01) | 60.48% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Exeter City 36.96%
Port Vale 37.31%
Draw 25.72%
| Exeter City | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.31% |
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
