Exeter0 - 2Wigan
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 1-2 Wigan Athletic
After such an emotionally-draining evening against Middlesbrough on Tuesday, there are concerns over whether Exeter can find the strength required to break their winless run this weekend. The Latics were much improved in the second half against Charlton, and we suspect Maloney's men will have enough attacking quality to secure their place in the second round on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
34.93% ( 0.09) | 25.48% ( -0.05) | 39.59% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.26) | 48.02% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.24) | 70.19% ( -0.24) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.18) | 26.54% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.26% ( 0.24) | 61.74% ( -0.24) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.09) | 23.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0.14) | 58.2% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59% |
