MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 12:23:04| >> :600:125998:125998:
Exeter City
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Wigan logo

Exeter
0 - 2
Wigan


Sweeney (42'), Kite (45+3'), Trevitt (85'), Aimson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aasgaard (58'), Sessegnon (87')
Aasgaard (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 2-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Wigan Athletic

After such an emotionally-draining evening against Middlesbrough on Tuesday, there are concerns over whether Exeter can find the strength required to break their winless run this weekend. The Latics were much improved in the second half against Charlton, and we suspect Maloney's men will have enough attacking quality to secure their place in the second round on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawWigan Athletic
34.93% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 25.48% (-0.055 -0.05) 39.59% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (0.261 0.26)48.02% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (0.238 0.24)70.19% (-0.238 -0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.181 0.18)26.54% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (0.243 0.24)61.74% (-0.242 -0.24)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.094999999999999 0.09)23.96% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.137 0.14)58.2% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 34.93%
    Wigan Athletic 39.59%
    Draw 25.48%
Exeter CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.93%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.59%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Exeter
0-2
Wigan

Harper (32'), Jules (45+2'), Watts (82'), Cole (90+8')
Godo (8'), Jones (90+7')
Pearce (26'), Godo (56'), Smith (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!