Fleetwood3 - 0Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Exeter City
Fleetwood are gaining momentum under Lee Johnson having seemingly turned a corner, while Exeter are devoid of any confidence given their poor recent run, and we envisage the hosts coming out on top this weekend and closing the gap between the two sides with differing trajectories to just a single point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Exeter City |
46.29% ( -0.38) | 24.67% ( 0.12) | 29.04% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( -0.39) | 46.53% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( -0.37) | 68.8% ( 0.36) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( -0.32) | 20.18% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.51) | 52.48% ( 0.51) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.02) | 29.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.35% ( -0.02) | 65.65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.29% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.04% |
