MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 12:29:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Exeter City

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Exeter

Broom (6'), Wiredu (32'), Patterson (42')
Omochere (66'), Broom (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wildschut (65'), Diabate (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Exeter City

Fleetwood are gaining momentum under Lee Johnson having seemingly turned a corner, while Exeter are devoid of any confidence given their poor recent run, and we envisage the hosts coming out on top this weekend and closing the gap between the two sides with differing trajectories to just a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
46.29% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38) 24.67% (0.121 0.12) 29.04% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.389 -0.39)46.53% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-0.366 -0.37)68.8% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.319 -0.32)20.18% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-0.514 -0.51)52.48% (0.511 0.51)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 46.29%
    Exeter City 29.04%
    Draw 24.66%
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Fleetwood
2-2
Exeter
Marriott (18', 35')
McDonald (28'), Sweeney (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
2-1
Fleetwood
Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!