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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Aggborough Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Fleetwood

Hobson (44')
Penny (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Earl (45+1'), Rooney (46')
Johnson (0'), Wiredu (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-3 Blackpool
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Fleetwood Town

With both sides struggling in their respective divisions, the two may have their priorities based elsewhere ahead of this clash. Fleetwood have fielded relatively strong teams in their cup fixtures so far though, and should Johnson do so again, they should get the better of their fifth-tier hosts here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fleetwood Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fleetwood Town.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawFleetwood Town
35.95%25.2%38.84%
Both teams to score 56.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35%46.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08%68.92%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92%60.08%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12%57.88%
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 35.95%
    Fleetwood Town 38.84%
    Draw 25.2%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Kidderminster vs Fleetwood

Kidderminster Harriers
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
80.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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