League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (24')
Thomason (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradbury (45'), Clarke (46'), Harrop (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Saturday's test will certainly not be an easy one for Bolton, with Cheltenham Town looking a completely new side and marching towards safety under Clarke, but the hosts do still boast far more quality throughout their squad and should have what it takes to get over the line on home turf and make it five straight three-point hauls in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
64.95% ( -0.01)	19.59% ( 0.01)	15.46% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.79% (

-0.07)

40.2% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.42% (

-0.07)

62.57% (

0.07)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

-0.02)

11.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.33% (

-0.05)

36.67% (

0.05)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14% (

-0.04)

38.86% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.4% (

-0.04)

75.59% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 64.95%

Cheltenham Town 15.46%

Draw 19.59%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.95%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.46%