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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.26% ( 0.07) | 24.42% ( -0) | 50.33% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.92% ( 0.07) | 48.08% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.75% ( 0.06) | 70.25% ( -0.06) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% ( 0.1) | 33.34% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% ( 0.1) | 69.96% ( -0.1) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0) | 19.13% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( 0) | 50.77% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.26% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |