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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
30.05% ( -0.09) | 26.75% ( 0.01) | 43.2% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% ( -0.08) | 54.63% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( -0.07) | 75.97% ( 0.07) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( -0.1) | 33.06% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( -0.12) | 69.65% ( 0.12) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 0) | 25.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0) | 59.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |