MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:33:01| >> :600:400169:400169:
Bolton logo
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 2pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 2
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37'), Kitching (50'), Phillips (76'), Walton (87'), Andersen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

There is not an awful lot between these two sides in terms of quality, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday afternoon. Barnsley certainly have the quality to triumph, but we just a have a feeling that Bolton will progress to the second round of the competition courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
51.29% (-0.186 -0.19) 24.37% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 24.34% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.198 -0.2)48.66% (0.196 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.179 -0.18)70.78% (0.178 0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.151 -0.15)18.97% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.248 -0.25)50.5% (0.247 0.25)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 51.28%
    Barnsley 24.34%
    Draw 24.36%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Barnsley
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Barnsley
Madine (20', 39' pen.), Little (70')
Ameobi (37'), Henry (56'), Vela (60'), Pratley (89')
Bradshaw (22' pen.)
Bradshaw (28'), Potts (56'), Williams (60'), Thiam (89'), Yiadom (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!